Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 59.177650 67.118782 75.316169 84.379519 94.089340 104.151151 115.337208
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 45.781242 56.862726 68.908724 82.848643 98.413231 115.143789 134.374946
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 38.588986 51.373680 65.814244 83.070786 102.882512 124.689214 150.283451
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 33.168386 47.068137 63.317848 83.281645 106.739404 133.059569 164.464346
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 29.146939 43.885402 61.661919 84.037310 110.852344 141.422511 178.390575
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 25.011057 40.082677 58.855032 83.061090 112.629955 146.852966 188.758987
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 22.535250 38.138349 58.114489 84.393088 116.993956 155.181632 202.401713
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 20.557201 36.642486 57.771081 86.074777 121.674026 163.814005 216.363283
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 17.859803 33.874432 55.552867 85.200193 123.066228 168.409737 225.475048
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 15.070555 30.678848 52.525821 83.076364 122.731267 170.787206 231.835556
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 14.341003 30.485891 53.541828 86.204925 128.996270 181.204462 247.876561
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.399730 29.866456 53.894889 88.405313 134.053873 190.136341 262.140874
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 11.553485 27.639072 51.863525 87.341219 134.905746 193.906537 270.216610
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.885603 25.513285 49.836329 86.169327 135.536116 197.351199 277.872284
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.740811 24.151507 48.838942 86.341297 137.868858 202.891817 288.085418
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.729913 22.905487 47.927629 86.565142 140.222430 208.431527 298.288705
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.939323 21.974591 47.436567 87.337975 143.279026 214.851715 309.590490
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.886770 20.374774 45.778056 86.338281 143.878968 218.085744 316.885006
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.371223 19.812419 45.754239 87.702476 147.683739 225.445525 329.374653
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.960957 19.422842 45.984046 89.424570 151.975541 233.444449 342.693147
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.181393 18.071560 44.510244 88.529012 152.602840 236.649324 349.931385
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.323216 16.343296 42.260605 86.353906 151.367424 237.359768 353.955777
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.246446 16.591005 43.499345 89.557832 157.711948 248.065288 370.773951